In Turin, the stage is set for a key showdown: Taylor Fritz meets Alex de Minaur in the group stage of the 2025 Nitto ATP Finals. With both players under pressure and the end-of-season stakes towering, this is more than just another match-it’s pivotal.
Players and context
Taylor Fritz
Fritz enters this match with momentum. He opened his ATP Finals campaign with a confident win over Lorenzo Musetti, 6-3, 6-4, showing good serve numbers and rhythm.
He is seeded No.6 in the tournament. Fritz also boasts a strong indoor hard-court record and knows how to perform in high-pressure round-robin settings.
Alex de Minaur
De Minaur, seeded No.7, has had a tougher start: he lost to top seed Carlos Alcaraz 7-6(5), 6-2 and then fell to Musetti 7-5, 3-6, 7-5.
The Australian is still searching for his first win at this year-end finals event-he has not yet broken through in Turin. His defensive speed and retrieval skills are his hallmarks, but Fritz’s power and serve pose different challenges.
Match Info
- Date: Thursday, November 13, 2025 (group stage)
- Tournament: ATP Finals, Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy
- Surface: Indoor hard court
Where to watch:
USA: Tennis Channel
Odds & prediction: Fritz is favoured with approx. -220 to win, giving de Minaur the underdog status. Many previews pick Fritz to win in three sets.
This is no ordinary group-stage match. For Fritz and de Minaur alike, it’s a moment of truth: one will take a step toward the semifinals, the other risks deeper trouble.
If Fritz serves well and controls the pace, he can take this. If de Minaur finds rhythm and drags the American into longer rallies, an upset might be on the cards. Either way-the tension, the stakes and the electric indoor conditions make this a must-watch.
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