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Do the Chiefs have an advantage in the Super Bowl thanks to the coin toss rule? The numbers say yes

News RoomBy News RoomFebruary 2, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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The Kansas City Chiefs’ recent dominance in the NFL postseason isn’t just about their star players or flashy plays-it’s also about their attention to the smallest details, including something as seemingly trivial as the coin toss. Since the NFL adjusted its overtime rules, understanding every nuance of the game has become critical, and no team has embraced this philosophy more than Andy Reid’s Chiefs.

Their back-to-back Super Bowl victories highlight how even the smallest advantages, like winning the opening coin toss, can play a pivotal role in tightly contested games.

In both Super Bowl LVII and LVIII, the Chiefs won the initial coin toss, giving them a subtle but significant edge. Kansas City has a well-documented strategy of deferring to the second half, allowing them to control the game’s flow and potentially double up on scoring opportunities.

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This approach has paid off handsomely, especially in high-stakes moments. Since their 2019 Super Bowl win, the Chiefs boast a 6-2 record in overtime coin tosses and a 2-1 record in playoff overtime-a stat no other team can match in that span.

For Super Bowl LIX, the Chiefs will technically be the “away” team against the Philadelphia Eagles, as odd-numbered Super Bowls designate the NFC team as the home squad. This positioning gives Kansas City the right to call the coin toss, offering yet another chance to dictate early momentum.

How the Chiefs use the coin toss to control games

The Chiefs have shown an almost uncanny ability to make the right call in these moments. In Super Bowl LVII, they correctly picked tails, and in Super Bowl LVIII, they went with heads-winning both flips. While some might chalk it up to luck, Reid’s meticulous preparation and the team’s awareness of even the smallest details suggest it’s more than just coincidence.

Fans, however, have had mixed reactions to the Chiefs’ coin toss success. Some have jokingly-or seriously-floated conspiracy theories, suggesting the league might be rigging the tosses in Kansas City’s favor. One fan quipped, “The league has secretly been telling them which side of the coin to call through flashes on the scoreboard. It’s all just part of Roger rigging the games.”

Another added, “Wouldn’t be shocked if they used a rigged coin.” While these comments are likely in jest, they highlight how the Chiefs’ consistent success in these moments has become a talking point among NFL enthusiasts.

The Chiefs’ Super Bowl LVII victory marked the first time in nine Super Bowls that the coin toss winner went on to win the game. As they head into their next big game as one-point favorites, their ability to capitalize on every opportunity-no matter how small-continues to set them apart. Whether it’s strategy, preparation, or a bit of luck, the Chiefs have turned the coin toss into an art form, proving that in the NFL, every detail matters.

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