As one of three host nations for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, El Tri will look to make this summer its year to finally go deeper than the Round of 16.
Mexico opened its World Cup campaign with a dominating 2-0 win over South Africa at Mexico City Stadium on Thursday.
Julián Quiñones quickly got things started with a goal in the ninth minute, which was followed by Raúl Jiménez’s first career World Cup goal in the 67th minute after a South Africa red card.
Because of their ideal first result, Mexico has surged from +6500 to +4500 on the oddsboard to win the World Cup. They are now also -185 to win Group A, a major jump from the -140 number they were at before the tournament began.
Just how big was Mexico’s win over South Africa? El Tri now has a better chance of making the final than being eliminated in the group stage.
Can they build off their opening match and make a deep run in this tournament? Let’s check out the updated odds for Mexico as of June 12.
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Team Mexico — Stage of Elimination
Last 32: +130 (bet $10 to win $23 total)
Last 16: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Quarterfinals: +400 (bet $10 to win $50 total)
Semifinals: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Runner-up: +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total)
Group stage: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Outright winner: +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total)
Mexico is currently +4500 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup after their opening win vs. South Africa (Getty Images).
Mexico to Qualify from Group A: –10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Mexico Group A Winner: -185 (bet $10 to win $14.76 total)
Mexico Top Goalscorer
Raúl Jiménez: -115 (bet $10 to win $18.70 total)
Julián Quiñones: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Santiago Giménez: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Armando González: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Roberto Alvarado: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)
Guillermo Martínez: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Alexis Vega: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
What to know: Mexico has made a habit of being in the running, but never really being in the running. Make sense? Consider this: El Tri made it out of the group stage in seven consecutive World Cups (1994-2018), but never made it past the Round of 16 in any of those years. In 2022, Mexico failed to make it out of the group stage, and it will look to get back to its winning ways in 2026, as it is heavily favored to win Group A after their opening win against South Africa. Mexico will face South Korea and the Czech Republic in their final two group games.
Prior to the tournament, Jiménez was the clear favorite to lead Mexico in goals this summer at +220. Now, after his 67th minute header that found the back of the net vs. South Africa, he is -115. Quiñones, who many believe can be one of the breakout players of the tournament, has surged from +750 to 150 after his goal on Thursday.
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