The two favorites in this weekend’s conference championship games emerged victorious, setting up a much-anticipated rematch for Super Bowl LIX on February 9 at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. Two years ago, the Chiefs defeated the Eagles in Super Bowl LVII to win the first of their two Vince Lombardi Trophies, which they will carry into this game. The Chiefs will now play for the first three-peat in NFL history and their fifth Super Bowl in the last six years, an unprecedented feat. Meanwhile, the Eagles will be making their fourth Super Bowl appearance in franchise history, looking to avenge a loss two years ago and go for their second championship, the first coming as the underdogs in 2017 against Tom Brady and the Patriots.
Both the Chiefs and Eagles were among the top five preseason favorites to win it all this year, with Kansas City the prohibitive favorite and Philadelphia behind the 49ers, Ravens and tied with the Lions. So their arrival in the championship game is no surprise, considering how consistent both teams have been over the past four years. Notably, the Chiefs and Eagles have the most wins since 2021-Kansas City with 52 and Philadelphia with 49, tied with the Bills.
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The Best Betting Insights for the Super Bowl
For the first time in their last three Super Bowl appearances, the Chiefs (-1.5) open as favorites at most sportsbooks. In their last two Super Bowls against the 49ers and Eagles, Kansas City opened as underdogs (-2), but came out on top in both games. With just under two weeks until the big game, the line may shift slightly, but it’s unlikely either team will end up being favored by more than two points. It’s also doubtful that the Chiefs will end up as underdogs this time around. In the last 10 Super Bowls, underdogs have won outright and covered the spread six times. Furthermore, underdogs have won 10 of the last 15 Super Bowls. Is this the sign you’ve been waiting for to bet everything you have on the Eagles being underdogs?
The total for the game is currently set at 49.5, a number that was easily surpassed two Super Bowls ago when these teams combined for 73 points. However, the UNDER has dominated lately, hitting in five of the last six Super Bowls, six of the last 10 and 12 of the last 20. The Eagles’ two most recent Super Bowl appearances both hit the OVER by more than 20 points, while only one Chiefs last four Super Bowl (against the Eagles) ended in the OVER. With a line between 49-50 points, I’d lean toward the OVER, especially given the recent history between these two teams and that i hate to bet the Under on important games. That said, both defensive coordinators – Steve Spagnuolo for the Chiefs and Vic Fangio for the Eagles – have been excellent this season so it won’t be easy for either Patrick Mahomes and Saquon Barkley.
Chiefs and Eagles: How They Arrive at the Super Bowl
The Chiefs enter the game with a 9-10 record against the spread (ATS), including an 8-8 mark as favorites. Although the -1.5 line is a reasonable bet, don’t rule out the possibility of a one-point game, as Vegas computer predictions are almost unerring. On the other hand, the Eagles have been much better ATS this season, posting a 13-7 record. Philadelphia has only been an underdog three times this year (Saints +2.5, Bengals +3, Ravens +3) and not only covered in all three games, but also won outright. This time, however, they face an entirely different challenge – the Super Bowl, where history often takes unexpected turns.
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