All comes down to this. After four hard-fought games, the Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces head into a decisive Game 5 in their WNBA Semifinal series. Vegas has home-court advantage and championship pedigree, while Indiana arrives battle-tested and full of momentum. Here’s when and where to watch, what’s at stake, key matchups to monitor, and predictions going into this do-or-die clash.
When and Where to Watch
- Date & Time: Tuesday, September 30 – 9:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas (home of the Aces)
- Broadcast / Streaming: ESPN2 in the U.S.
What’s at Stake
The winner of Game 5 punches their ticket to the 2025 WNBA Finals, where they will face the Phoenix Mercury.
For the Aces, it’s a chance to return to the Finals for the third time in four years – a testament to their consistency and experience.
For the Fever, this game represents the culmination of a surprise run. They have already won three elimination games this postseason and are now one more win away from reaching the Finals for the first time since 2015.
The Aces hold the edge in home-court, health, and experience – all factors that favor them in a winner-take-all setting.
Recent momentum and series trends
Indiana escaped elimination in Game 4 with a 90-83 victory, behind a dominant performance from Aliyah Boston (24 pts, 14 reb, 5 ast) and strong help from Kelsey Mitchell (25 pts) and Odyssey Sims.
Throughout the playoffs, the Fever have excelled under pressure. They are 3-0 in elimination games this postseason.
The Aces have been solid at home this season (17-5) and will lean heavily on A’ja Wilson, their MVP and centerpiece, to carry them through.
Betting markets generally favor Las Vegas. Odds place the Aces as ~8-point favorites, with totals around 158.5.
Prediction and outlook
Given home-court advantage, experience, and roster health, the Aces enter Game 5 as slight favorites. That said, Indiana’s resilience in elimination games cannot be ignored – they’ve repeatedly shown they aren’t intimidated. In many projections, Las Vegas is favored by about 8 points.
If Indiana can keep it close early, force Wilson to carry a heavier load, and control the glass, they might steal it on the road. But if the Aces bring their full attack and crowd energy, closing in front of home fans should tilt the edge their way.
Game 5 is the moment everything has built toward – one game to decide who joins the Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA Finals. Will the Aces harness home court and championship experience to close it out? Or will the underdog Fever shock the league again and extend this unforgettable postseason run? All eyes turn to Las Vegas Tuesday night – you won’t want to miss a single moment.
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