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The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Miami Dolphins clash with their playoff dreams on the line and every play is that much more crucial. Tua Tagovailoa needs to lead the Dolphins to a win tonight in order for their playoffs hopes to stay alive.
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Pittsburgh Betting Info
- Against the spread, Pittsburgh is 6-7-0 this year.
- The Steelers have been favored by 3 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in two of those games.
- Pittsburgh games this year have hit the over on seven of 13 set point totals (53.8%).
- When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Steelers have won 66.7% of the time (4-2).
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Steelers’ implied win probability is 63.0%.
Pittsburgh’s Key Players
- Aaron Rodgers has 2,370 passing yards, 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 65.4% of his attempts, averaging 197.5 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
- Jaylen Warren has put up 652 rushing yards with four touchdowns (54.3 yards per game through 12 games). His 4.1 yards per attempt rank 28th in the NFL. Warren has caught 30 passes (on 35 targets) for 277 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He’s averaging 23.1 receiving yards and 2.5 catches per game.
- D.K. Metcalf has 52 receptions for 753 yards on 87 targets with five touchdowns, while averaging four catches and 57.9 yards per game.
- Kenneth Gainwell averages 4.6 yards per attempt and 28.5 yards per game for 371 total rushing yards. He has scored four rushing touchdowns this season. Gainwell has been targeted 58 times to the tune of 50 catches, 286 yards and two TDs.
- T.J. Watt has seven sacks (first on the Steelers) to go with 10 TFL, 53 tackles, and one interception in 2025.
- Payton Wilson has intercepted one pass and added 97 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
- Patrick Queen has recorded 96 tackles, five TFL, and one sack this year. He’s second on the Steelers in tackles.
- Nick Herbig has 28 tackles, 12 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one interception.
Miami Betting Info
- Miami has registered a 7-6-0 record against the spread this year.
- So far this year, the Dolphins have been installed as underdogs by a 3-point margin or more five times and are 4-1 ATS in those matchups.
- This season, Miami games have hit the over seven times.
- This season, the Dolphins have won two out of the seven games in which they’ve been the underdog.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 41.3% chance of a victory for the Dolphins.
Miami’s Key Players
- De’Von Achane averages 86.6 rushing yards per game this year (1,126 total yards to rank fourth in the NFL), while scoring seven rushing touchdowns. Achane has also played a role the receiving game with 383 yards (29.5 per game) on 55 receptions (4.2 per game), while being targeted 73 times. He has four receiving touchdowns.
- Tua Tagovailoa has 2,407 passing yards, 18 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. His completion percentage is 66.9% and he averages 185.2 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
- Jaylen Waddle has 57 catches (4.4 receptions per game on 6.6 targets per game) for 812 yards and six receiving touchdowns.
- Malik Washington has been targeted 56 times, resulting in 40 catches for 274 yards .
- Jordyn Brooks’ 2025 output includes 142 tackles, 10 TFL, and 2.5 sacks through 13 games. He leads the Dolphins and is second in the NFL in tackles.
- Tyrel Dodson has four sacks (second on the Dolphins) to go with nine TFL, 98 tackles, and one interception.
- Minkah Fitzpatrick has 68 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one interception in 13 games.
- Bradley Chubb’s stat sheet includes 35 tackles, seven TFL, and 6.5 sacks in 13 games.
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