The sportsbooks are not feeling the Dallas Cowboys in 2025. After a rough 7-10 finish last season-derailed by Dak Prescott’s injury and a team clearly out of sync-Vegas has the Cowboys pegged as a middle-of-the-pack team at best. Their projected win total? Just 7.5, per Caesars Sportsbook. That’s barely above the mark they hit during last year’s “blow-it-up” campaign.
So why the lack of faith in Jerry Jones’ squad? It’s not just the record. It’s about trust-or the lack of it. Trust in the new coaching setup under Brian Schottenheimer. Trust in an aging quarterback coming off injury. Trust that Dallas can do more than beat up on bad teams.
But here’s where things get weird.
Despite being underdogs in the majority of their toughest matchups-against teams like the Eagles, Chiefs, and Lions-a closer look at the game-by-game betting lines tells a different story. Dallas is actually favored in eight games and within striking distance in four more, including road matchups against the Chargers and Raiders.
Can the Cowboys Beat the Odds? Midseason Will Tell the Truth
If they handle business early (weeks 2 through 6 look winnable), they could ride into midseason with real momentum. Beating the Giants, Bears, Jets, and Commanders isn’t far-fetched. In fact, those are all games where they’re either favored or narrowly behind.
The gauntlet hits later. A brutal stretch between Weeks 12 and 14 features the Eagles, Chiefs, and Lions-three teams with top-10 Super Bowl odds, according to BetMGM. That could be the make-or-break run.
Still, if Dallas can scrape wins in games where they’re slight underdogs and steal one in December, they could hit double-digit victories. That’s what one projection, using the point spreads to simulate outcomes, has them doing: finishing10-7 and sneaking into the playoffs.
So maybe Vegas is just hedging their bets. And maybe the Cowboys, for all their chaos and inconsistency, aren’t as far off as the oddsmakers think.
Read the full article here
