In just a matter of days, Munetaka Murakami’s future has shifted dramatically. A growing list of MLB teams is now pushing to lure the Japanese star to the United States, with the New York Mets and Boston Red Soxemerging as the most aggressive suitors.

They are not alone, as clubs such as the Detroit Tigers, Philadelphia Phillies, Seattle Mariners, and Toronto Blue Jays have all expressed varying levels of interest. The market around Murakami has intensified quickly, turning his posting into one of the most closely watched storylines of the offseason.

Despite having his 2025 season shortened by an oblique injury, Murakami still delivered 22 home runs in just 56 games with the Tokyo Yakult Swallows. His move to MLB has long been anticipated, dating back to the three-year, nearly $4 million contract extension he signed in 2022, which included a clause obligating the Swallows to post him after the 2025 season. That moment has now arrived, and the pressure is on as the posting window approaches its December 22 deadline.

Questions surrounding Murakami

As the deadline nears, one question continues to dominate conversations among executives and scouts: why hasn’t a deal been finalized yet? While Murakami is a superstar in Japan-often labeled the “Japanese Aaron Judge“-MLB teams remain divided on how his skill set will translate.

The primary concern is his swing-and-miss profile, with strikeout rates in the high-20 percent range in NPB, a figure that typically increases against MLB pitching. His below-average in-zone contact rate and documented struggles against premium velocity, particularly fastballs above 93-94 mph, only add to the uncertainty.

Defensively,Murakami is not projected to be an asset at third base in MLB due to limited range and arm strength, making first base or designated hitter his most likely long-term role. That reality puts even more pressure on his bat to carry his overall value. Still, his elite, top-of-the-scale power and relative youth give him undeniable star upside, forcing teams to carefully balance risk versus reward.

How much could Murakami earn in MLB?

Despite the concerns, interest from the Mets and Red Sox remains strong as the posting window winds down.

The remaining question is not just where Murakami will land, but at what price. Several insiders believe he could command a deal approaching $100 million, potentially surpassing the $90 million contract Masataka Yoshida signed with Boston in 2023.



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