What if the Buffalo Bills hadn’t traded down to the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2024 NFL Draft? We may never know, but one thing is certain-the Bills are unlikely to make the same mistake again after their decision cost them a hearbreaking loss at the AFC Championship.

As Super Bowl LVIII champions, the Chiefs initially held the last pick in the 2024 draft. However, a last-minute trade moved them up to the 28th spot, leaving the Carolina Panthers at 32nd while the Bills sacrificed their first-round pick in exchange for two selections in the second round.

Draft-day trades are a regular occurrence in the NFL, but this one had significant consequences. The Chiefs snagged speedy wide receiver Xavier Worthy, while the Bills secured receiver Keon Coleman and safety Cole Bishop with the 33rd and 60th overall picks, respectively.

History Repeats Itself?

A similar situation is unfolding this year. The Chiefs are positioned at 31st, while the Bills hold the 30th pick. Both teams enter the draft with different priorities-Kansas City aims to strengthen its offensive line, while Buffalo seeks to address gaps in its passing game left by free agency departures.

Despite this, Reuters analysts caution, “The Bills traded down in last year’s first round, allowing the Chiefs to grab speedy receiver Xavier Worthy. This year, Buffalo could make its own move for a Texas receiver.” That prospect is Matthew Golden.

According to Reuters, “Golden’s speed and ability to win contested catches downfield would help compensate for the loss of Mack Hollins in free agency.” Analysts also highlight Buffalo’s advantage of possessing two second-round picks, “the first from Houston as part of last year’s Stefon Diggs trade.”

The Worthy Factor

Worthy’s slow start in the NFL initially suggested the Bills had made the right choice. The Texas standout recorded 59 receptions, 638 yards, and six touchdowns during the regular season. In the playoffs, however, he stepped up his game, contributing 19 catches, 287 yards, and three touchdowns.

Most notably, a third of his postseason production-six catches, 85 yards, and one touchdown-came against the Bills in the AFC Championship. His performance played a crucial role in the Chiefs’ 32-29 victory, leaving Buffalo short of a Super Bowl LIX appearance.

While draft-day trades are a routine part of the NFL, the Bills should proceed with caution. Making deals with their biggest rival could once again come back to haunt them. Buffalo learned a hard lesson last year-will they risk repeating history?

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